Wednesday, May 30, 2012

Who Is Really Better?

http://i.ytimg.com/vi/yjDis3S1MHA/0.jpg

There are two players playing today that, if they retired at this moment, would be in the top 10 greatest players of all time. No, one of them is not LeBron James. There are too many great players who have led their teams to (multiple) championships for LeBron to be a top 10 guy at this very moment. The two guys are Kobe Bryant and Tim Duncan. Reasonable basketball fans need to make room in their top 10 lists to accommodate these two. If that means bumping Jerry West or Hakeem Olajuwon or Julius Erving or Shaquille O'Neal, then so be it. The only guys who need to go in front of both of them are Jordan, Russell, Magic, Bird, and Kareem. They're in the Robertson/Chamberlain class. So the question is: who is better? Duncan or Kobe? Here is my attempt at objective analysis, given that Tim Duncan is one of my all-time favorite players, and Kobe is my all-time least favorite player. I'll try.

Friday, May 18, 2012

NBA: National Blerd Association

There has been a trend the past few years in the NBA. When players are dressed in something other than their uniforms, they often dress like nerds. And because it's the NBA, they're often dressed like blerds. Perfect example: Russell Westbrook.
http://www.sportsgrid.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/05/russell-westbrook.jpg
 I CAN'T SEE SO GOOD! AND I LIKE FISHING!

Friday, May 11, 2012

I'm Having Trouble With This One

http://cbsboston.files.wordpress.com/2012/05/josh-beckett2.jpg?w=300

I'm no fan of mainstream sports reporting. I don't watch any ESPN coverage, I don't read any newspaper's sports page, and decorated sports writers like Peter King and Mitch Albom make me want to vom. I go to the ESPN website quite often because, even though its analysis is terrible, it is the best and most efficient way to get news about what's happening in sports.

Today on the ESPN front page, there is a featured story about Josh Beckett's terrible start, and particularly about his comments after the game. I didn't hear his comments after the game, so I clicked on the link to find out what he said. What did Gordon Edes, writer for ESPN Boston, overblow this time? What did he overreact to today? Is he going to blame the Red Sox recent ridiculous struggles on one pitcher's piss poor attitude?

The article is a straight-out attack on Josh Beckett. It is merciless. It's sarcastic. It's condescending. If Skip Bayless or Colin Cowherd had written it, it would've been racist. But it's weird in this respect: if you take away the childish sarcasm, I actually agree with the assessment.

Friday, May 4, 2012

Coming to Terms with LeBron James

While Steve and Sean are busy wrestling with fandom, advanced stats and the role of closers in the wake of Mariano Rivera's passing (kidding, he's most likely immortal), I have a few basketball related thoughts, and I have to start with a confession. I root for LeBron James.

File:Lbjheat.jpg
Fine. I root for him. Big whoop, wannafightaboutit?

This is certainly a strange confession to have to make. He's a superstar, featured in tons of commercials and obviously has legions of fans, so clearly I'm not alone in this sentiment. But I think James is a superstar in the way Two and a Half Men is the top rated show on TV or Nickelback is the country's most popular band. No one wants to admit that they're fans, and if you're serious about sports (or TV or music) you should have more discerning tastes. I not a fan ironically either, like disco music or buddy-cop movies (note: I only like one of those things. I'll leave it to you to guess which). I'm just a fan.

The Crossroads of Stats and Being a Fan

Mariano Rivera will probably never throw another pitch for the Yankees after tearing his ACL yesterday in Kansas City. This sudden, shocking twist of events has amplified and accelerated the discussion of his career. Rivera's career can be looked at in two ways: one, he plays an overrated position and while he is the greatest ever at his position it doesn't mean much, or two, he was a centerpiece to one of baseball's greatest dynasties, a stoic force that vanquished opponents' chances one cut fastball at a time.



How you view Rivera's career probably says a lot about how you look at baseball. If you take the view of SABRmetrics you might say that Rivera's 39.4 career WAR is less than JD Drew's. Or you might argue that the save is a ridiculous stat that should be abolished and closers aren't as valuable as fifth starters. A more casual fan might say that Rivera shortened every game he entered and his steady consistency was a dramatic part of his success and the Yankees' five championships. (A major league manager might say this). Personally, I fall somewhere between the two.

I understand the rational arguments against the closer position and think that Rivera was probably overrated and overpaid (although the Yankees don't give a shit about overpaying). On the other hand, as a fan of the sport, Rivera's dominance over the past fifteen years cannot be measured just by numbers. You don't have to be a Yankees fan to appreciate Rivera and his impact for the team. Would they have won five World Series without him? It's impossible to say, but ask any Braves fan about Mark Wohlers or Indians fan about Joe Table  blowing playoff leads. Having a dominant bullpen makes a huge difference in the playoffs, especially when Rivera would routinely throw multiple innings. Rivera threw 140 innings in the playoffs with an ERA of .70. I can confidently say that that level of dominance will never be matched by any other closer. In 96 playoff appearances he had one loss. Those numbers are fucking ridiculous and to think that Trevor Hoffman could put up those same stats is absurd (Hoffman amazingly has more postseason losses than Rivera in only 12 appearances). Rivera stood head and shoulders above every closer of his era and he did it for a team that was always fighting for a playoff spot in the pressure cooker of New York.

I also subscribe to the human element of baseball, something that I don't think stats can accurately measure. Having a dominant closer instills confidence in pitchers who know they don't have to go seven or eight innings and puts pressure on the opposing hitters to score runs before Rivera enters the game. These subtle factors add up over the course of a season and matter even more in the playoffs. I watched teams, with the notable exception of the Red Sox (and only after about a decade of failure against #42), give up in the 9th. Other closers have been able to come close (sorry) to that level of dominance with Eric Gagne and John Smoltz coming to mind, but never for 15 consecutive years. If Rivera has in fact played his last game in the majors we shouldn't focus on the closer position, or his WAR, but enjoy his dominance. He pitched the 9th, and sometimes the 8th, inning better than anyone in the history of baseball for 15 years while winning five championship and that's what counts.

Good Riddance: You Seem Like A Really Nice Guy